Early warning thresholds for partially saturated slopes in volcanic ashes

Early warning thresholds for partially saturated slopes in volcanic ashes

0266-352X/$ see front matter 2012 Elsevier Ltd. A http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.compgeo.2012.11.002 ⇑ Corresponding author. Tel.: +41 21 693 23 14; fax E-mail addresses: [email protected] (J. [email protected] (A. Ferrari), [email protected] (L. Laloui). Rainfall-induced landslides in steep soil slopes of volcanic origin are a major threat to human lives and infrastructure. In the context of ...

Numerical Analysis of Infiltration into Partially Saturated Soil Slopes

Maximum warning times for imminent volcanic eruptions

[1] Accelerations in seismicity are important precursors to eruptions at volcanoes reawakening after extended repose intervals. These have previously been quantified for subduction-zone settings in terms of the linkage of crustal faults by shearing. Introducing a damage-mechanics criterion for the weakening of rock between major fractures, the model is here modified for failure in tension, cons...

An early warning on early warning systems!

Diversity of Rainfall Thresholds for early warning of hydro-geological disasters

For early warning of disasters induced by precipitation (such as floods and landslides), different kinds of rainfall thresholds are adopted, which vary from each other, on the basis on adopted hypotheses. In some cases, they represent the occurrence probability of an event (landslide or flood), in other cases the exceedance probability of a critical value for an assigned indicator I (a function...